|[March 07, 2013]
Poll: Markey Takes Early Lead in Senate Race
LOWELL, Mass. --(Business Wire)--
U.S. Rep. Edward Markey has a double-digit lead over Democratic opponent
U.S. Rep. Stephen Lynch and the three Republicans in the race for U.S.
Senate in Massachassetts, according to a new UMass Lowell-Boston Herald
The independent, nonpartisan poll found Markey leads Lynch by 29.5
percentage points among potential Democratic primary voters -- 50 to
20.5 percent, with 23 percent undecided -- as well as the Republican
candidates in head-to-head matchups: 19.5 points over former Navy SEAL
Gabriel Gomez (47 to 27.5 percent); 17.2 points over former U.S.
Attorney Michael Sullivan (47.5 to 30.3 percent); and 23.2 points over
state Rep. Dan Winslow (49.1 to 25.9 percent). Lynch leads the
Republicans by margins of 18.4 percent (Gomez), 17 percent (Sullivan)
and 24.5 percent (Winslow).
Eighty-six percent were aware of the June 25 special election, but most
are unfamiliar with the candidates: 30.6 percent reported favorable
views of Markey, but 30.6 percent had no opinion and 18.7 percent had
never heard of him (49.3 percent combined). Even among those who said
they follow politics closely, 32.2 percent had no opinion of Markey nd
17.2 percent never heard of him.
Regarding the other candidates, 41.6 percent had no opinion of Lynch and
18.7 percent had never heard of him (60.3 percent total); 38.9 percent
had no opinion of Sullivan and 40.2 percent never heard of him (79.1
percent); 31.5 percent had no opinion and 53.4 percent never heard of
Gomez (84.9 percent); 21.9 percent had no opinion of Winslow and 69.6
percent never heard of him (91.5 percent total).
"Ed Markey is the front-runner in a race characterized by lack of
attention among voters. Markey's lead, while substantial against both
Stephen Lynch and the Republican candidates, is built on a great deal of
soft support. In a limited timeframe with competitive primaries on both
sides, there are considerable obstacles for candidates to
overcome. However, there is great potential for this race to shift as
the campaign heats up," said Associate Prof. Joshua Dyck, co-director of
UMass Lowell's Center for Public Opinion.
Respondents also expressed a strong feeling of distrust in government,
with 12 percent saying they trust the federal government and 28 percent
trusting state government. Full results are available at www.uml.edu/polls.
Results based on interviews with a random sample of 600 Massachusetts
voters conducted March 2 through March 5 via landline and cellular
telephones by RKM Research and Communications; poll designed and
analyzed by Dyck. Statistical results based on a random-digit dial
probability sample. Margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
UMass Lowell is a national research university that offers its more than
16,000 students bachelor's, master's and doctoral degrees in business,
education, engineering, fine arts, health and environment, humanities,
sciences and social sciences. www.uml.edu
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