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TMCNet:  Fitch Affirms Brevard College (NC) Revs at 'B+'

[April 04, 2014]

Fitch Affirms Brevard College (NC) Revs at 'B+'

CHICAGO --(Business Wire)--

Fitch Ratings has affirmed the 'B+' rating on approximately $10.6 million of outstanding series 2007 North Carolina Capital Facilities Finance Agency educational facilities revenue refunding bonds, issued on behalf of Brevard College Corporation (Brevard).

The Rating Outlook remains Positive.

SECURITY

The bonds are a general obligation of the college, payable from all legally available funds.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

IMPROVING FINANCIAL OPERATIONS: The Positive Outlook reflects three years of slim but positive operating margins supported by enrollment growth, cost containments and gifts. Slim margins are expected in the next several years as the college strategically reinvests in its programs, staff and infrastructure.

ENROLLMENT AND NET (News - Alert) TUITION REVENUE GROWTH: Increased enrollment to 702 students in fall 2013 (from 638 in fall 2010) has supported net revenue growth. Continued modest enrollment growth will be needed to support upward rating motion.

LIMITED BALANCE SHEET: Brevard's fiscal 2013 balance sheet ratios improved but remain very low compared to peer private institutions; ratios were negative in 2012 due to endowment market value fluctuation.

MANAGEABLE DEBT BURDEN: The college's MADS debt burden is moderate at 5.7% in fiscal 2013. Importantly, MADS coverage of level debt service has been positive for the last four fiscal years.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

ENROLLMENT TRENDS: The rating assumes modest, consistent enrollment growth and increases in net tuition revenue over time, particularly given Brevard's student-revenue dependency and slim operating margins.

BALANCE SHEET: Low balance sheet ratios constrain Brevard's rating at this time; significant weakening in balance sheet strength could cause a negative rating action.

ACCREDITATION PROBATION: The outcome of the recent SACs accreditation review is not expected to be determined until June 2014.

ADDITIONAL DEBT POSSIBLE: Management is considering new debt for a student residence hall. Fitch will review the impact once the size and structure of the transaction is determined.

CREDIT PROFILE

Brevard is a small four-year, private liberal arts college located on 120 acres in Brevard NC, about 140 miles west of Charlotte, NC and about 30 miles southeast of Asheville, NC. All students are undergraduates, and most attend full-time. The college recently revised its mission statement to focus on each student receiving a distinctive, experiential learning experience. Brevard is known for its performing arts programs and environmental sciences.

Enrollment increased to 701 students in fall 2013, with an entering class of 308. This was up from 633 in fall 2012. The college was founded in 1853 as a two-year institution, and became a 4-year institution in 1995. It is affiliated with the Western North Carolina Conference of the United Methodist Church. The college is accredited by the Southern Association of Colleges (SACs), which placed Brevard on probation in June 2013 due to continuing financial stress. Management reports that SACs has visited the campus and completed a draft report, which will not be made public until June 2014.

ENROLLMENT DRIVES IMPROVEMENTS

Brevard's operating revenues are heavily reliant on student-generated revenues, typically about 74%, which is similar to other small liberal arts colleges. After dropping to a low of 619 full-time equivalent (FTE) students in fall 2011, FTE stabilized at 626 in fall 2012, and imprved to 695 in fall 2013. Management reports that the entering fall 2014 class enrollment is expected to be similar to (or slightly higher than) fall 2013.


This improvement is largely attributable to enrollment strategies implemented in fall 2012 a by a new vice president for enrollment. The focus is on student 'fit' at the college, retention and growth in net tuition revenue. The strategic plan, initiated by President David Joyce after joining the college about three years ago, has a goal of building gradually to 1,000 students by fall 2019. Fitch's Positive Outlook recognizes progress on enrollment, net tuition revenue growth and balanced operating performance.

SLIM BUT POSITIVE OPERATING PERFORMANCE

GAAP operating results have improved at Brevard in each of the last five fiscal years, with positive margins in the last three years. Fiscal 2013 had a $2.9 million operating surplus, which Fitch considers overstated as it includes a $2.5 million non-cash bequest. When adjusted for the bequest, the margin is positive and close to break-even at $479,000, a slimmer margin of 0.2%. This compares to $1.05 million in 2012 and $200,000 in fiscal 2011. Management has exercised significant expense management during the last several fiscal years, including salary reductions and freezes, no retirement matching contributions, and maintaining position vacancies.

In recent years management began providing modest salary increases and making strategic investments in plant and programs. Additionally, the budget has contained both contingency and working capital reserves. As a result, operations are expected to remain balanced but close to break-even on a GAAP-basis in fiscal 2014 and over the next several fiscal years.

WEAK AVAILABLE FUNDS

Brevard's balance sheet remains very weak, providing minimal financial cushion. At May 31, 2013, available funds (AF), defined by Fitch as cash and investments less permanently restricted net assets, was slightly less than $1 million. While this is the first time in four fiscal years that the AF value has been positive, balance sheet strength remains very weak compared to peer institutions.

Fiscal 2013 AF was only 6.3% of operating expenses and 7.5% of outstanding debt ($10.6 million). The college has about $21 million of endowment, almost all of which is restricted and thus is not included in the AF calculation. Fitch views Brevard's balance sheet as severely limited.

DEBT BURDEN CURRENTLY MANAGEABLE

Brevard's $10.5 million outstanding bonds are fixed rate with level debt service. MADS is $1.05 million, due in 2019. Fitch views this conservative structure favorably. MADS represented a moderate 5.7% of fiscal 2013 operating revenues. Brevard also has a $1.625 million bank line of credit which it uses for operating cash-flow. The college's fiscal 2014 and 2015 budgets have each provided $250,000 to build working cash and reduce dependence on the bank line.

POSITIVE DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE

Brevard has posted positive debt service coverage for the last four fiscal years, including fiscal 2013. Coverage was 4.7x in 2013 (this level reflects a bequest receivable), 3.0x in fiscal 2012, and 2.2x in fiscal 2011. When fiscal 2013 coverage is adjusted to exclude a $2.5 million non-cash bequest, the ratio declines to a still solid 1.9x. Coverage is expected to exceed 1.0x in the current 2014 budget year.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Revenue Supported Rating Criteria' (June 2013);

--'U.S. College and University Rating Criteria' (May 2013).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=709499

U.S. College and University Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=708049

Additional Disclosure

Solicitation Status

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=826286

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON (News - Alert) THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.


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